TCU vs Iowa State Prediction, Odds and Tips

TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan passes the ball

11/19/2022; Waco, TX, USA; TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan (15) passes Kendre Miller (33) during the second quarter against the Baylor Bears at McLane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

  • Iowa State heads to TCU for a late-season Big 12 showdown
  • The Cyclones are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 encounters with TCU
  • Check out all the odds and our best bets for Saturday’s clash between TCU and Iowa State below

The stakes for TCU couldn’t be higher. Win and the Horned Frogs are likely to be in the Big 12 Title Game and the College Football Playoffs, losing – and what happens next is anyone’s guess. TCU simply needs to walk away with a win over the Cyclones on Saturday.

The TCU Horned Frogs enter this game after a thrilling walk-off field goal won the game at last week’s Gun against Baylor. Griffin Kell charged the field and hit a 40-yarder after time was up to give the Horned Frogs the win.

Meanwhile, Iowa State has suffered two consecutive losses, falling to Oklahoma State and Texas Tech.

TCU vs. Iowa State begins Saturday, November 26 at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. You can watch this game on Fox. Explore all the odds and our best bets for this crucial Big 12 matchup below.

TCU vs Iowa State Odds

team Spread money line In total
TCU -10 -400 Over 47.5 (-110)
State of Iowa +10 +305 Under 47.5 (-110)

Odds as of November 23 at BetMGM.

TCU is a 10-point favorite in this must-win game. While the total for TCU vs. Iowa State currently stands at 47.5. Currently 68% of bets cover the spread like the Horned Frogs.

TCU Betting Trends

Head coach Sonny Dykes aims to take his team to the college football playoffs in his first season at the helm. The Horned Frogs Path crosses the state of Iowa. Expect the TCU to be powered and prepared.

Unfortunately, key elements of TCU’s offense are broken and could miss this competition altogether. Star receiver Quentin Johnston in particular has been restricted from working for weeks after suffering a severe sprained ankle. Of even more concern, Keandre Miller, who started running back, was hit hard in the 4th quarter of the Baylor game and missed the last couple of series. Both are currently expected to play but keep an eye out for injury updates throughout the week.

Either way, Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs offense always find ways to win. The maestro took his offense to the field to set up the game-winning field goal against Baylor and was the backbone of that team all season. Duggan has thrown for 26 touchdowns and just 3 interceptions this year. He may not be the most talented quarterback in college football, but Duggan brings all the intangibles needed to lead TCU to an undefeated season.

Other than that, the Big 12 haven’t given the Horned Frogs a quarter this year. Aside from a 55-24 blowout win over Oklahoma in Week 3, every Big 12 team managed to stay within ten points of the Horned Frogs at the final whistle. TCU may be 8-2-1 against the season’s spread, but this Cyclones defense is no joke.

2022 College Football Conference Championship Odds Tracker

Iowa State betting trends

The state of Iowa must be disappointed with the course of the season.

The Cyclones have suffered six one-point losses and are stricken by an unfortunate offense. Though Iowa State’s famed 3-3-5 defense ranks in the top ten in the nation for points per game, yards per game, yards per game and third-down conversion percentage, the Cyclones are only standing this season on 4-7. It’s almost unfathomable how much the Cyclones’ offense has let this team down.

Sack artist Will McDonald IV must ravage the TCU offense so the state of Iowa has a chance in this case. After hanging double-digit sacks in each of the last two years, McDonald has just 5 this year as offenses have done everything in their power to slow him down.

That being said, Iowa State averages just 18.6 points per game and 4.8 yards per game. Is that really enough to keep up with this high-octane Horned Frogs attack?

Predictions between TCU and Iowa State

Follow the trends when betting on this conference match-up. Make no mistake, this Iowa State Defense is one of the best units in the country and will do well with TCU tendencies.

The Cyclones may not be able to stop Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs, but they can certainly slow them down. Additionally, the Under has scored in each of the Cyclones’ last 7 conference games. Since Quentin Johnston and Keandre Miller got together, there’s no reason to think that’s going to change here.

Tip: TCU vs. Iowa State UNDER 47.5 (-110)

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Nick Wood

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Sports content author

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