Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech Odds & Predictions: Earlier to win comfortably

Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech Odds

It’s the last Saturday of the regular season, and while the fate of many post-season teams has a clearer picture, these two Big 12 teams must be battling for bowl eligibility.

The Oklahoma Sooners were a major disappointment starting the year in the top 10, but a series of heavy losses combined with injuries quickly changed that opinion. However, there is light at the end of the tunnel as their season is at stake here.

The Red Raiders have also shown some struggles lately as their season is at stake. Texas Tech has won twice in a row, defeating Iowa State and Kansas entering this matchup. Their morale is high, but can they step up for another crucial win? Let’s take a closer look to find out.

Looking at the Sooners’ offense, Dillon Gabriel hasn’t made the impact many expected of him after moving from UCF. Of course, part of that is due to injuries, but he was far less mobile than he was before 2021.

Luckily, running back Eric Gray took advantage of his excellent offensive line. Gray has had a monstrous season on the ground. He averages 6.5 yards per carry and has hit pay dirt 11 times. The senior has carried the Sooners’ offense as they rush over 58 percent of the time.

Gray and the Sooners should be able to find sustained local success again in this matchup. Texas Tech ranks 92nd in yards per rush allowed in this matchup and leads 42-6 in line yards.

If the Sooners can build the run early, expect them to rely heavily on Gray. Texas has been surprisingly stingy on the pass and isn’t a good matchup for Gabriel, whose completion percentage has been steadily declining this season.

The Red Raiders proved they can win in opposite ways when they had a shootout against Kansas but then won against Iowa State.

That offense lived and died on Donovan Smith’s arm, but its inconsistency caused a breaking point.

Senior Tyler Shough has once again taken the reins after being named a starter last year. Unfortunately, Shough suffered a broken collarbone last year and it seemed like he’d lost his job forever.

However, he rose to the occasion and kept his team’s season alive, although that success could falter in this matchup.

The Sooners’ defense has had some poor performances, particularly in conference play, but their numbers say they’re turning it around on the stretch. They are 34th in yards per pass allowed and 37th in defensive havoc.

It will be interesting to see if the Red Raiders run the ball more since Oklahoma was vulnerable there. Still, their offensive line hasn’t played great and the fight in the trenches is about even.

Oklahoma vs Texas Tech Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdown menus below to hide or show how Oklahoma and Texas Tech statistically match:

Oklahoma Offense vs. Texas Tech Defense

Texas Tech Offense vs. Oklahoma Defense

Game pace / Miscellaneous
PFF tackle 52 29
PFF cover 73 96
SP+ special teams 29 72
seconds per game 20.9 (3) 21.0 (5)
rush rate 58.3% (32) 47.5% (104)
Data from CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Foc,us and SportSource Analytics.

Oklahoma vs Texas Tech Betting Tip

This is one of the rare duels this week where both teams are highly motivated. The winner of that game qualifies for the bowl. So expect each team to do their best.

Under the circumstances, the Sooners have the edge. They should control this game by running the ball. This attack will be very effective and will also limit the Red Raiders’ chances of scoring.

In the end, the Sooners will take this game and save their season.

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